David Laitin: America needs a Council of International Strategy
US Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs Victoria Nuland (L) shakes hands with First Deputy of Head of State Border Guard Service Viktor Nazarenko (2ndR) during her visit to the border guards base in Kyiv's suburb on Oct. 8, 2014.
Since 1994, with the establishment of a Political Instability Task Force (PITF), scholars in political science have been advising U.S. government agencies, using statistical methods to forecast instability events across the world. This task became more urgent in 2011-12 with the outpouring of revolutionary fervor during the Arab Spring that caught scholars as well as intelligence agents by surprise.