In the aftermath of the Russian invasion of Georgia, the obvious question is where Putin might strike next. The consensus seems to be pointing directly towards Crimea which houses a large ethnic Russian minority as well as the disputed Black Sea fleet base.

Leon Aron, a respected commentator on the Soviet Union and Russia for the past few decades, outlines several scenarios of how this might occur, if President Putin so desired. (http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122100831438617621.html?mod=opinion_main_commentaries)

With over 14,000 Russian military men already “on the inside”, Mr. Aron outlines several variants on how Russia could, violently or not, sieze control of Crimea.

Something to think about this morning.