Russia's War Against Ukraine OP-ED

Alexander J. Motyl: Why Russia will lose in Ukraine

By Alexander J. Motyl.
Pro-Russian separatists take position near the eastern Ukrainian city of Uglegorsk, 6 kms southwest of Debaltseve, on Feb. 18.
Photo by AFP

So who's winning the war in eastern Ukraine-Russia or Ukraine? The answer is not as simple as it might seem, because victory means different things for each side. A Russian victory could take one of two forms: territorial expansion into large parts of southeastern Ukraine or the imposition on Ukraine of disadvantageous peace terms. Or it could take both forms. But neither has happened, and neither is likely to happen.

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