The political crisis in Belarus seems to have entered the stage of unstable equilibrium both inside the country and along its perimeter. A system in this position accelerates away from steadiness if displaced even slightly. As Yauhenii Preiherman, who heads the Minsk Dialogue platform, opined, the crisis has approached a fork in the road: either the situation deteriorates to the point of no return or it stops escalating. This is not a particularly optimistic assessment, and yet it still presumes some small window of opportunity.
Protests in Belarus
OP-ED
Grigory Ioffe: The unstable equilibrium of Belarus’s political crisis
Members of the Belarusian diaspora in Ukraine, covered with former national red and white flags of Belarus, march during a rally in Kyiv on Aug. 8, 2021.
