Motyl: Will the EU embrace Ukraine’s membership bid in Vilnius?

Activists of Ukrainian movement \"For European Future\" hold EU flag with the Ukraine national emblem during their rally at Independence Square in Kiev on Oct. 30. They have launched a campaign for a referendum in support of the European choice of Ukraine and against the country's joining to the Customs Union with Russia.
The European Union is often depicted as a feckless, bumbling institution with lots of sex appeal but little capacity to act and talk tough, even when it’s in the EU’s direct interest to do so. As Europe watchers know, the argument is not without merit, especially when Europeans need to consider policy measures that risk alienating influential states.