In the first seven weeks of the Donald Trump administration, Russia has been as hot an issue as it gets. Amid the scramble to do damage control, the most reasonable advice for Washington is to take a breath, sort out the sequence of moves, and draw appropriate “red lines.” It’s often assumed that the Russian leadership will merely wait for the whirlwind of scandals to blow over—but there’s a real risk that President Vladimir Putin will take a proactive stance and throw another of his trademark surprises.

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